http://www.horsefactsoffer.com/horse-results/
Handicapping a horse race requires the comparison of different factors and arriving at a value for each horse. In other words, the value is equal to what he thinks the opportunity winning horse could be. A simple example would add the last three digits of speed for each horse and then assigning probabilities to win likely for each horse on the basis of its total velocity.
It might look something like this …
1. Flying Aces speed = 220 likely = 2-1
2. Rubber Legs speed = 210 likely = 3-1
3. Goosey Speed = 200 odds = 4.1
etc. ..
Of course, basing their decisions betting on one factor is not very sophisticated, or can make a profit. It takes more than that to get a good view of the possibilities of each corridor.
That is where the weighting factors becomes important. While speed is important, is it really the most important factor in the race? You have to decide what is the factor of disability is the most important and therefore give more weight. Practice and keeping notes on every race and class in the end will help you develop a factors weighted list of horse racing. A hierarchy of factors and then develop an improved understanding of the possibilities of each corridor is revealed.
You may find that the recent rate is 60% of the total score, the class is worth 30%, and connections are worth 10%. Then, after having done the calculations for each factor and each horse, a score may prove unrealistic and indicate that the runners have the best chance of winning.
Experience below will help to develop a line in the morning for each horse. It all comes down to probability and value. If you want a 20% return on your investment (betting), then you should be able to find the stakes worth at least 20% more likely to win runner on the basis of the score. By example, if I know that a horse has a 25% chance of winning and going out against 5-1, then I know that for every 4 bet those horses, one win and pay $ 12.00 on the basis of a $ 2 bet. Since I have already posted 4 times and spent a base amount of $ 8 and returned $ 12, I've done non-profit to $ 4 is 50% of my investment, a very good return indeed.
Naturally, as all this sounds good and works well on paper, in the real world, making a profit betting on horse racing is very difficult. The reason is that many people who understand this concept are doing it and also because competition is a such a risky undertaking. Riders lose his whip in the stretch, falling horses, horses are disqualified for hitting, and sometimes simply not working well.
Therefore, if you're lucky and good enough to make 10% profits in the long term, which is doing very well as a handicap.
I have been around horse racing for 50 years including as an owner. Without the basics the rest is not going to do any good. To learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to http://williewins.homestead.com/truecb.html and get the truth.
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